Hi, welcome from me near Lincoln, UK. Looks like it could well be the prop shadt oil seal to me. However if it were me I would thoroughly clean the area with brake cleaner spray first. Also check the oil in the gearbox isn't over full.
Is it Auto or stick?
Is there any oil further forward than your picture or is it concentrated around the prop.
If so as Tony says clean drive check fresh oil leak point.
Stephen.
You need to also remember depending on the manual box type and age it may be filled with atf and not a 75/80 gear oil .
My face-lift 1.9 m43 manual gearbox is filled with automatic transmission fluid.
Stephen.
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